SWG poll puts Italy’s coalitions close: voting intentions are not an election result
Italy’s centre-left stands at 44.9% and the centre-right at 44% in the SWG voting-intention poll published by Tg La7 on 9 November and covered by Repubblica on 10 November; these figures are not a count of ballots.[1][2]
The original source describes a weekly recovery for the centre-right, up 0.2 percentage points, while the centre-left loses 0.1 points but remains ahead in the survey.[1]
Leading and gaining ground are different things, as the totals and weekly changes published by La7 illustrate.[1]
Among individual party movements, the summary records Fratelli d’Italia down 0.1 points and the Democratic Party up 0.2; the Five Star Movement, Verdi e Sinistra and Italia Viva C.Rif. are unchanged.[1]
Within the governing bloc, Forza Italia and Sud chiama Nord gain 0.1 points and the League gains 0.2, while Noi Moderati loses 0.1.[1]
Outside the coalitions, Futuro Nazionale falls 0.3 points; Azione with Spazio Pubblico and Altre Liste gain 0.1 points.[1]
The proportion expressing no preference falls to 29%, another component of the snapshot published for the broadcaster.[1]
Repubblica reports the same coalition totals and the same direction of weekly change: this is separate journalistic coverage of one poll, not a second independent survey.[2]
The dates matter: La7’s original summary is dated 9 November and Repubblica’s report 10 November.[1][2]
This article does not convert voting intentions into parliamentary seats, declare an election winner or claim that the small movements are statistically significant.
## Sources
[1] https://tg.la7.it/sondaggi/sondaggio-politico-9-novembre-voto-09-11-2026-265710 — SWG per Tg La7, sondaggio del 9 novembre
[2] https://www.repubblica.it/politica/2026/11/10/news/sondaggi_politici_fdi_pd_m5s_lega_vannacci_avs_fi-425712713 — Repubblica, rilevazione SWG